First Success for Geometric Model
Find chance say first success go happen for trial wey you choose.
Your numbers
Chance of first success for trial k
Use consistent units. Result follow the assumptions wey you enter.
Compare scenarios
You fit keep up to three snapshots for this tab. Loading one go replace the present inputs.
Formula
P(T=k)=(1−p)ᵏ⁻¹p; E[T]=1/p
Find chance say first success go happen for trial wey you choose.
Example wey show the calculation
- Chance of success (%)
- 20
- Trial number for the first success
- 3
- Chance of first success for trial k
- 12.8 %
- Trials wey you expect on average
- 5
Where e fit work and limits
Use consistent units. Result follow the assumptions wey you enter.
We check inputs for missing values and allowed ranges. Result wey pass the finite numeric range no go show. Rounding affect wetin display, while calculation use the model numeric precision.
Check your units and assumptions before you rely on result. Changing label no convert currency or physical unit.
Version of di formula: 833db7ee2899 · Example don get check: