Go to calculators
calcmintly

Chance of birthday match

Find di chance say at least two people get di same birthday.

Add to workspace

Your numbers

Calculations dey happen locally. Results na estimates, no be professional advice.

At least one birthday match

—

E assume birthdays dey independent and every date get equal chance; actual birth dates no spread evenly.

Formula

Use P = 1−∏ᵢ₌₀ⁿ⁻¹(1−i/d). n na people and d na equally likely days; di product na probability of no match. If people pass days, match must happen. Di result assume independent birthdays.

Find di chance say at least two people get di same birthday.

Example wey show the calculation

People
23
Days wey get equal chance
365
At least one birthday match
50.7297234324 %

Where e fit work and limits

E assume birthdays dey independent and every date get equal chance; actual birth dates no spread evenly.

We check inputs for missing values and allowed ranges. Result wey pass the finite numeric range no go show. Rounding affect wetin display, while calculation use the model numeric precision.

Check your units and assumptions before you rely on result. Changing label no convert currency or physical unit.

Version of di formula: 3152b69c6ae2 · Example don get check:

Method

Other tools wey relate to dis